of Full Self-driving Cars

Elon Musk’s False Promises

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October 2014:

Elon Musk mentioned in an interview with the German newspaper "Die Welt" that Tesla would be able to achieve full autonomous driving within the next three years.

January 2016:

Musk said that Tesla would have fully self-driving cars by the end of 2017, during the Tesla Model X unveiling event. He also said that Tesla would have a million self-driving cars on the road by 2020.

October 2016:

During an earnings call, Musk stated that the self-driving feature would be ready by 2017 and announced a cross-country autonomous demo drive from Los Angeles to New York by the end of 2017.

April 2017:

Musk mentioned at a TED conference again that a fully self-driving Tesla would be able to make a trip from Los Angeles to New York without the need for any human intervention by the end of 2017.

June 2017:

During the Tesla annual shareholder meeting, Musk said that Tesla would have fully self-driving cars by the end of 2018 and that it would deploy self-driving cars without regulatory approval.

October 2018:

Musk tweeted that the Full Self-Driving feature would start rolling out to Tesla owners by the end of 2019. He clarified that this wouldn't mean complete autonomy or self-driving.

April 2019:

During an Autonomy Day event, Musk said that Tesla would have over a million fully autonomous “robotaxis” on the road by mid-2020 whose value will skyrocket.

May 2019:

Musk said that Tesla would have fully self-driving cars by the end of 2020 during the Tesla Autonomy Investor Day event.

January 2020:

Musk mentioned in a podcast interview that he was "certain" there would be no regulatory approval required for Tesla's FSD technology and that he believed it could be achieved by the end of 2020.

November 2020:

During the Tesla Battery Day event, Musk said that Tesla would have fully self-driving cars by the end of 2021, with the use of the new Dojo supercomputer.

December 2020:

Musk announced during Tesla's AI Day event that he was "highly confident" that Tesla would achieve full self-driving capability by the end of 2021, calling it a "superhuman" level of autonomy.

January 2021:

During the Tesla earnings call, Musk said that Tesla would have fully self-driving cars by the end of 2022 by using its new software stack which is better than its previous generations.

July 2021:

During Q2 2021 earnings call, Musk acknowledged slower progress, complexity of the problem and the need for additional real-world data. He refrained from giving a specific timeline for full self-driving.

August 2022:

Musk said that Tesla would have fully self-driving cars by the end of 2023 during the Tesla AI Day event. He added that Tesla would achieve this goal by using its new neural network architecture.

July 2023:

During a conference in Shanghai, Elon Musk said that Tesla is "very close to achieving full self-driving without human supervision" and that it could release fully self-driving cars "later this year"

August 2023:

As of August 29, 2023, there have been no new announcements about Tesla self-driving cars. Tesla continues to face increasing competition from other automakers in the self-driving car space.

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Produced by: Sahil Pawar Designed by: Prathamesh